DFB Pokal . Last 16

Hamburger SV vs Köln analysis

Hamburger SV Köln
81 ELO 84
-7.9% Tilt 17%
274º General ELO ranking 196º
19º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
34.9%
Hamburger SV
26.2%
Draw
38.9%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
Hamburger SV
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.9%
Win probability
Köln
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Hamburger SV
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2017
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
22%
24%
54%
80 87 7 0
28 Jan. 2017
ING
Ingolstadt 04
3 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
33%
26%
41%
80 78 2 0
21 Jan. 2017
WOL
Wolfsburg
1 - 0
Hamburger SV
HSV
51%
24%
25%
81 85 4 -1
13 Jan. 2017
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
Henan FC
HEN
66%
21%
13%
81 66 15 0
09 Jan. 2017
ALN
Al Nasr Dubai
0 - 5
Hamburger SV
HSV
26%
25%
49%
81 71 10 0

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2017
KOL
Köln
1 - 0
Wolfsburg
WOL
34%
27%
40%
84 85 1 0
28 Jan. 2017
DAR
Darmstadt 98
1 - 6
Köln
KOL
27%
27%
47%
84 77 7 0
22 Jan. 2017
M05
Mainz 05
0 - 0
Köln
KOL
48%
25%
27%
84 84 0 0
11 Jan. 2017
KOL
Köln
0 - 0
Stuttgart
STU
45%
25%
30%
84 79 5 0
07 Jan. 2017
RTV
VfL Bochum
0 - 1
Köln
KOL
32%
26%
43%
84 73 11 0
X