Regionalliga Nord round 21

Hamburger SV II vs St. Pauli II analysis

 Hamburger SV II St. Pauli II
38 ELO 37
-2.2% Tilt 11.9%
2712º General ELO ranking 3412º
100º Country ELO ranking 130º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Hamburger SV II
21.9%
Draw
23%
St. Pauli II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
 Hamburger SV II
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23%
Win probability
St. Pauli II
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
 Hamburger SV II
+20%
+18%
St. Pauli II

ELO progression

 Hamburger SV II
St. Pauli II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamburger SV II
 Hamburger SV II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2013
HAN
Hannover 96 II
2 - 2
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
62%
20%
18%
39 46 7 0
01 Dec. 2013
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
1 - 1
Wilhelmshaven
WIL
55%
22%
23%
39 37 2 0
23 Nov. 2013
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
3 - 3
Wolfsburg II
WOL
19%
24%
57%
40 58 18 -1
15 Nov. 2013
CLO
Cloppenburg
4 - 3
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
54%
22%
25%
41 42 1 -1
09 Nov. 2013
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
2 - 0
Havelse
HAV
19%
23%
59%
39 54 15 +2

Matches

St. Pauli II
St. Pauli II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2013
WIL
Wilhelmshaven
0 - 3
St. Pauli II
STP
53%
22%
26%
34 38 4 0
30 Nov. 2013
STP
St. Pauli II
0 - 1
Wolfsburg II
WOL
19%
22%
59%
34 56 22 0
23 Nov. 2013
STP
St. Pauli II
2 - 4
Cloppenburg
CLO
36%
22%
41%
37 43 6 -3
17 Nov. 2013
HAV
Havelse
2 - 1
St. Pauli II
STP
73%
17%
11%
37 53 16 0
09 Nov. 2013
STP
St. Pauli II
1 - 2
Werder Bremen II
WER
32%
23%
45%
38 48 10 -1