Hamburger SV II vs Spelle-Venhaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
7º
18º
7º
12
6º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
WEI
1 - 2
HAM
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 1
HAM
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
4 - 2
KIL
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
4 - 4
BWL
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STP
0 - 1
HAM
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spelle-Venhaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EIM
2 - 2
SVE
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
9 - 2
SVE
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
0 - 3
MEP
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
7 - 2
SVE
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 3
HAV
29%
23%
47%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |