Hamburger SV III vs Elmshorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SVE
1 - 1
HAM
15%
18%
67%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HAM
1 - 0
UTO
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
IHA
1 - 5
HAM
18%
20%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HEB
2 - 2
HAM
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
HAM
2 - 4
NDF
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
ELM
4 - 1
HEB
21%
20%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NDF
0 - 3
ELM
78%
13%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
ELM
6 - 0
ALS
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
ELM
1 - 2
BWS
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
ELM
0 - 2
PNB
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |