Hamborn vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
18º
18º
52
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 2
HAM
6%
11%
83%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
BWM
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 4
MSV
6%
13%
81%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MEE
6 - 3
HAM
31%
21%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 1
VEL
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +5 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 2
KFC
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 3
SPR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 0
FSV
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
4 - 2
SPE
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 1
WAT
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |