Halesowen Town vs Merthyr Tydfil FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halesowen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
HAL
2 - 1
HIT
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
RUG
2 - 1
HAL
28%
28%
43%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
HAL
3 - 1
TBA
48%
26%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
HIT
1 - 2
HAL
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 0
HAL
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BRO
1 - 1
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
BED
3 - 3
MER
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
TIV
3 - 2
MER
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
MER
3 - 2
BED
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
MER
1 - 3
GLO
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |