Halcones vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 0
COA
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ANT
4 - 0
HAL
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
HAL
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
HAL
0 - 0
DEP
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
HAL
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 1
LEO
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
MUN
52%
26%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 0
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VEN
2 - 0
MUN
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |