Halcones vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
HAL
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 1
DEP
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 1
HAL
47%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 0
RET
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
COM
7 - 0
HAL
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
VEN
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CON
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |