Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
FC Haka vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Haka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
HAK
5 - 0
FCJ
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2003 |
ALL
0 - 3
HAK
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2003 |
TPS
0 - 2
HAK
24%
26%
49%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
HAK
4 - 0
HAM
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
HAK
5 - 0
ALL
51%
24%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
HKS
1 - 4
INT
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
KIV
0 - 1
HKS
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
HKS
2 - 0
ZAG
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
DZG
4 - 1
HKS
53%
22%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
HKS
4 - 0
IST
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |