Q. Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round Final
Global 4-0
HNK Hajduk Split vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IST
4 - 1
HKS
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
HKS
4 - 1
FCK
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
HKS
0 - 0
SPL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
FCK
3 - 2
HKS
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
DZG
1 - 1
HKS
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
STR
0 - 1
MBO
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
MBO
1 - 2
STR
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LSK
1 - 2
STR
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
STR
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
STR
4 - 1
VKG
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |