HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
2º
2º
49
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HKS
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
5 - 1
SLA
72%
18%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 1
HKS
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
0 - 2
VIL
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 1
LOK
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 3
OSI
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
RIJ
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
RIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 1
SLA
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |