HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HKS
1 - 0
ZAD
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
ZAG
1 - 0
HKS
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HNS
1 - 2
HKS
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
HKS
1 - 0
ZAG
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 0
HKS
20%
25%
55%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DZG
1 - 1
IST
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IST
1 - 2
KTE
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
OSI
2 - 1
IST
63%
24%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
IST
2 - 0
KAR
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
IST
2 - 1
SLA
29%
30%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |