Europa League 1/32
Global 1-1
HNK Hajduk Split vs FC Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
4.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.8%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.3%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.7%
3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
FCU
1 - 0
HKS
3%
28%
69%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
GIR
4 - 0
HKS
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
HKS
4 - 1
GIR
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
HKS
4 - 0
ZUR
90%
7%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
ZUR
1 - 4
HKS
16%
20%
64%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
SPO
3 - 0
FCU
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
FCU
3 - 0
ARG
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
FCU
1 - 0
HKS
3%
28%
69%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
ASA
0 - 0
FCU
54%
26%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
FCU
4 - 0
BAI
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |