Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-3
HNK Hajduk Split vs Politehnica Iași analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
HNK
0 - 2
HKS
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
CSM
2 - 2
HKS
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 1
HKS
6%
15%
80%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
HKS
1 - 0
SLP
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
VOR
0 - 6
HKS
7%
16%
77%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Politehnica Iași
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
CSM
2 - 2
HKS
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 2
CSM
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PTI
2 - 3
CSM
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
CSM
1 - 1
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CSU
3 - 2
CSM
41%
29%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |