Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda. Final
Global 7-0
HNK Hajduk Split vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2008 |
HKS
0 - 0
DZG
31%
22%
48%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ZAG
2 - 1
HKS
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
DZG
3 - 0
HKS
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
HKS
1 - 1
DZG
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
HKS
0 - 2
OSI
68%
19%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
BIR
2 - 1
HAM
81%
13%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
BIR
4 - 2
VAL
38%
23%
39%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2008 |
HAM
0 - 2
BIR
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
BIR
1 - 1
FLO
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 2
BIR
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |