Haiti vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
HTI
6 - 0
NLD
9%
19%
72%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
HTI
4 - 3
CHN
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
VEN
3 - 2
HTI
60%
21%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2003 |
HTI
2 - 0
TTO
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
KNA
1 - 0
HTI
18%
21%
62%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
PAN
0 - 1
NIC
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
GTM
5 - 0
NIC
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 0
NIC
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
3 - 0
NIC
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
0 - 2
HND
3%
10%
87%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | -1 |