Haiti vs U.S. Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.6%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.7%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
15%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.9%
3-0
18.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.3%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.8%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
5.4%
0.9%
Win probability
0.19
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+117%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
HTI
0 - 6
BRA
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 98 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
JAM
3 - 0
HTI
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
HTI
1 - 1
JAM
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SLV
3 - 3
HTI
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 0
HTI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
U.S. Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
VGB
2 - 1
VIR
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
KNA
7 - 0
VIR
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 56 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 4
KNA
13%
20%
68%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 5
DMA
12%
19%
69%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
VGB
5 - 0
VIR
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |