Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final

Global 1-3

Häcken vs Thun analysis

Häcken Thun
81 ELO 77
13.6% Tilt 9.1%
549º General ELO ranking 418º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Häcken
19.6%
Draw
15.2%
Thun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
Häcken
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.2%
Win probability
Thun
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Häcken
Thun
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Häcken
Häcken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2013
HÄC
Häcken
1 - 0
Sparta Praha
SPA
45%
25%
31%
81 84 3 0
22 Jul. 2013
HÄC
Häcken
2 - 3
AIK Solna
AIK
52%
24%
24%
82 82 0 -1
18 Jul. 2013
SPA
Sparta Praha
2 - 2
Häcken
HÄC
52%
24%
24%
81 84 3 +1
13 Jul. 2013
HÄC
Häcken
0 - 1
Kalmar FF
KAL
60%
22%
18%
82 78 4 -1
07 Jul. 2013
AIK
AIK Solna
2 - 0
Häcken
HÄC
36%
27%
36%
82 82 0 0

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2013
YOB
Young Boys
3 - 2
Thun
THU
59%
22%
19%
77 81 4 0
25 Jul. 2013
CHI
Chikhura
1 - 3
Thun
THU
44%
25%
31%
76 73 3 +1
21 Jul. 2013
THU
Thun
3 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
44%
25%
31%
76 76 0 0
18 Jul. 2013
THU
Thun
2 - 0
Chikhura
CHI
53%
23%
23%
75 74 1 +1
14 Jul. 2013
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 2
Thun
THU
55%
25%
20%
76 81 5 -1