Häcken vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
13º
9º
9
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 64 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 59 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 49 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 42 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 26 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 91% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
HÄC
3 - 3
AIK
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SIR
2 - 0
HÄC
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 2
HÄC
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HÄC
1 - 1
HIF
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
HÄC
3 - 4
DEG
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 2
MFF
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
GAI
1 - 1
IFK
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
HAL
4 - 2
IFK
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 3
NOR
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 2
AIK
29%
28%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |