Häcken vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
11º
8º
31
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
1 - 2
HEI
45%
22%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 3
HÄC
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
HÄC
31%
23%
46%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
6 - 1
PAI
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
HÄC
6 - 1
F91
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
JON
1 - 2
IFK
14%
20%
66%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 3
HIF
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GÖT
0 - 0
IFK
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 4
SIR
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
IFK
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |