HFC Haarlem vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 0
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
ADO
2 - 1
HFC
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
HFC
2 - 2
MVV
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
AZA
3 - 0
HFC
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1979 |
HFC
3 - 1
ADO
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |