HFC Haarlem vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1986 |
HFC
0 - 0
BVV
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
FOR
0 - 0
HFC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 1
HFC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
HFC
1 - 1
MVV
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 0
HFC
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 1
AJA
25%
22%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
AJA
6 - 0
TWE
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
FOR
1 - 4
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
AJA
4 - 1
BOS
92%
5%
2%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |