Gwangju FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SEO
3 - 4
GWA
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GWA
1 - 1
GAN
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GWA
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
INC
3 - 2
GWA
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GWA
2 - 3
SEO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
INC
1 - 0
DCI
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
INC
0 - 0
CDR
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SEO
1 - 2
INC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
INC
3 - 2
GWA
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDR
0 - 0
INC
46%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |