GVI vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GVI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
B19
1 - 1
GVI
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GVI
1 - 0
BAL
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BOL
4 - 2
GVI
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GVI
3 - 2
SKO
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 3
GVI
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 1
FRE
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 4
FRE
24%
23%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 0
AVE
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALL
0 - 3
FRE
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
NBB
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |