Gute vs Arlanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
14.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
14º
5º
43
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KVA
0 - 4
GUT
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GUT
1 - 0
HUD
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GUT
1 - 0
SKI
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KUN
0 - 0
GUT
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
GUT
1 - 3
IFS
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
SAN
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OST
2 - 2
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ENS
3 - 1
FCA
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 1
FRA
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FCJ
3 - 0
FCA
79%
12%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |