Gurupi vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
INT
0 - 0
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
GUR
1 - 0
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GUR
1 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
46%
24%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
GUR
3 - 0
INT
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
TOC
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
TOC
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
TOC
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |