Gurupi vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
PLA
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GUR
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 0
GUR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
SAL
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
YAP
0 - 1
GUR
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 0
TOC
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 2
TOC
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 0
GUR
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TOC
3 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 1
TOC
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |