Gurupi vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
GUR
2 - 1
JEC
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KEC
0 - 5
GUR
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
GUR
39%
25%
35%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
GUR
2 - 1
ARA
48%
24%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 0
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 1
ARA
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
JEC
3 - 1
TOC
46%
25%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
TOC
2 - 1
TUB
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 1
TOC
57%
22%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |