Gurupi vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 1
GUR
67%
22%
11%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
GUR
2 - 0
RIO
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GUR
2 - 1
LON
13%
22%
65%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 3
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
GUR
0 - 0
TOC
48%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
LIT
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 1
GUR
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
0 - 0
JEC
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |