Gurten vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 1
GUR
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
GUR
1 - 0
NEU
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
STU
0 - 1
GUR
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GUR
6 - 0
GDF
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 2
GUR
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2022 |
STU
7 - 0
TRE
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 1
GDF
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
WEL
5 - 2
TRE
44%
21%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 2
ANN
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 2
SPI
65%
18%
16%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |