Gurten vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GUR
0 - 0
HAR
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ALL
0 - 1
GUR
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
STF
1 - 1
GUR
41%
26%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
WAC
0 - 4
GUR
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GUR
2 - 1
SVW
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
STU
1 - 2
STA
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
STU
1 - 3
HAR
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
STU
2 - 0
STF
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 3
STU
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
WAC
1 - 1
STU
35%
22%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |