Gurten vs Grieskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
WEI
1 - 3
GUR
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
GUR
0 - 2
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 1
GUR
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GUR
3 - 1
VOR
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
FCB
0 - 0
GUR
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
KAL
2 - 0
GRI
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 0
WEI
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
STA
3 - 1
GRI
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GRI
1 - 1
HAR
12%
19%
68%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
VOR
3 - 1
GRI
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |