Gulbene 2005 vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gulbene 2005
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
GUL
1 - 3
FKJ
46%
23%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 3
GUL
45%
23%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
GUL
1 - 1
FCD
16%
19%
66%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
FKD
3 - 3
GUL
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GUL
2 - 4
FSM
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
BFC
5 - 1
FSM
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 2
VEN
17%
20%
62%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 1
BFC
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
FKS
1 - 0
BFC
41%
24%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LME
1 - 2
BFC
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |