Guitiriz vs Candelaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+154%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guitiriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOZ
1 - 0
GUI
33%
23%
43%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 1
LOU
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
XER
1 - 1
GUI
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
GUI
49%
23%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GUI
4 - 2
COS
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Candelaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 3
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
COS
3 - 0
CAN
25%
23%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
SAN
38%
24%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
CAN
27%
23%
50%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
ALF
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |