Guiseley vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
GUI
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 2
GUI
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 3
SOL
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 2
HAL
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 1
GUI
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
VAU
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 1
STO
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 1
WOR
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 2
WOR
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |