Guiseley vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
7 - 0
EAS
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
NUN
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EAS
2 - 2
GUI
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 2
GUI
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 0
WOR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 1
VAU
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NUN
2 - 1
WOR
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
WOR
3 - 1
HIN
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HIS
2 - 0
WOR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |