Guiseley vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 2
GUI
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 0
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
GUI
5 - 0
BLY
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SOL
0 - 1
GUI
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
DRO
2 - 0
GUI
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
STA
4 - 2
VAU
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VAU
2 - 1
SOL
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
VAU
2 - 2
ALT
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 2
VAU
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
WOR
2 - 0
VAU
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |