Guiseley vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 1
GUI
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
WIT
1 - 2
GUI
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
GUI
2 - 0
NOR
69%
18%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GUI
4 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
WHI
0 - 2
GUI
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAT
2 - 1
ASH
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LEI
0 - 2
MAT
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
MAT
2 - 0
HED
32%
26%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
BUX
4 - 1
MAT
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
EAS
1 - 0
MAT
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |