Guiseley vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 0
ALT
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 0
GUI
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 0
BAR
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 3
HUR
23%
24%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 3
GUI
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
DOV
3 - 2
KID
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
KID
2 - 2
GRI
24%
27%
50%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
KID
0 - 2
STF
22%
26%
52%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
KID
1 - 1
BIR
12%
19%
69%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
KID
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |