Guiseley vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 3
GUI
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
BOS
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
HAL
0 - 1
GUI
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 0
GUI
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
OXF
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 3
GUI
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
VAU
0 - 2
BRA
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
KID
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOS
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
4 - 0
TOW
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |