National League Round 30

Guiseley vs Barrow analysis

Guiseley Barrow
36 ELO 47
-4% Tilt -2.5%
5272º General ELO ranking 3427º
163º Country ELO ranking 89º
ELO win probability
22.8%
Guiseley
23.6%
Draw
53.5%
Barrow

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
Guiseley
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.5%
Win probability
Barrow
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guiseley
-33%
+2%
Barrow

ELO progression

Guiseley
Barrow
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guiseley
Guiseley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2018
SOL
Solihull Moors
3 - 1
Guiseley
GUI
71%
18%
11%
38 51 13 0
07 Apr. 2018
GUI
Guiseley
0 - 0
Maidstone United
MAI
29%
25%
46%
37 44 7 +1
02 Apr. 2018
HAR
Hartlepool United
0 - 1
Guiseley
GUI
63%
21%
16%
36 45 9 +1
30 Mar. 2018
GUI
Guiseley
1 - 3
Leyton Orient
LEY
21%
24%
55%
38 49 11 -2
17 Mar. 2018
GUI
Guiseley
1 - 1
FC Halifax Town
HAL
22%
24%
54%
37 48 11 +1

Matches

Barrow
Barrow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2018
BAR
Barrow
0 - 1
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
28%
27%
46%
47 54 7 0
10 Apr. 2018
BAR
Barrow
3 - 2
Eastleigh
EAS
34%
25%
41%
45 47 2 +2
07 Apr. 2018
LEY
Leyton Orient
4 - 1
Barrow
BAR
54%
23%
23%
46 49 3 -1
03 Apr. 2018
BAR
Barrow
1 - 3
Fylde
FYL
21%
24%
55%
47 56 9 -1
30 Mar. 2018
BOR
Boreham Wood
0 - 0
Barrow
BAR
53%
24%
24%
47 53 6 0