Guiseley vs Avro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
BAM
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 0
GUI
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 1
WHI
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 1
GUI
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 3
GUI
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LTO
0 - 4
AFC
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
AFC
15%
18%
68%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
ALB
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 3
AFC
21%
20%
60%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
LBR
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |