Ligue 2 . Jor. 27

Guingamp vs Troyes analysis

Guingamp Troyes
68 ELO 66
-0.8% Tilt -4%
1198º General ELO ranking 1432º
25º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Guingamp
25.7%
Draw
27.2%
Troyes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.2%
Win probability
Troyes
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guingamp
-12%
-3%
Troyes

Points and table prediction

Guingamp
Their league position
Troyes
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
12º
41
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auxerre
74
74
100%
Angers SCO
68
68
100%
Saint-Étienne
65
65
100%
Rodez
60
60
100%
Paris FC
59
59
100%
Caen
58
58
100%
Stade Lavallois
55
55
100%
Amiens SC
53
53
100%
Guingamp
51
51
0%
Pau FC
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Grenoble
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Girondins Bordeaux
12º
50
51
12º
0%
Bastia
13º
50
51
13º
0%
Annecy
14º
46
46
14º
0%
Ajaccio
15º
46
46
15º
100%
Dunkerque
16º
46
46
16º
0%
Troyes
17º
41
44
17º
100%
QRM
18º
38
38
18º
0%
Concarneau
19º
38
38
19º
0%
Valenciennes
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Guingamp
Troyes
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Guingamp
Troyes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
1 - 0
Guingamp
GUI
47%
27%
27%
68 70 2 0
17 Feb. 2024
GUI
Guingamp
1 - 0
Caen
CAE
42%
26%
32%
67 68 1 +1
10 Feb. 2024
AJA
Ajaccio
3 - 0
Guingamp
GUI
32%
29%
39%
68 65 3 -1
03 Feb. 2024
GUI
Guingamp
1 - 4
Annecy
ANN
60%
23%
18%
69 60 9 -1
27 Jan. 2024
AUX
Auxerre
1 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
59%
23%
17%
69 76 7 0

Matches

Troyes
Troyes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
TRO
Troyes
1 - 2
Dunkerque
DUN
55%
24%
21%
67 61 6 0
17 Feb. 2024
TRO
Troyes
3 - 1
Grenoble
GRE
43%
28%
29%
65 69 4 +2
12 Feb. 2024
ASS
Saint-Étienne
5 - 0
Troyes
TRO
51%
25%
24%
66 69 3 -1
03 Feb. 2024
TRO
Troyes
2 - 1
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
35%
26%
39%
66 70 4 0
27 Jan. 2024
CAE
Caen
0 - 0
Troyes
TRO
44%
27%
29%
65 67 2 +1
X