Guingamp vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
11º
5º
38
7º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
STL
0 - 1
GUI
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 0
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
LOR
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 6
GUI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
REN
12%
20%
69%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
RED
1 - 0
AJA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
3 - 0
RED
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
1 - 2
RED
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 0
RED
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RED
2 - 1
FCR
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |