Guingamp vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 1
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
MPL
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 2
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
ASN
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
BAS
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 2
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |