Guingamp vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
GUI
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
GUI
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
LOR
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 1
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
MPL
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASN
60%
25%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 1
LIL
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 2
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 4
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |