Guingamp vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
TFC
0 - 0
GUI
35%
26%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
GUI
4 - 3
MPL
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
MON
3 - 1
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
PSG
2 - 0
GUI
64%
21%
16%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAS
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 3
LIL
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
32%
30%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
MPL
0 - 2
LIL
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 2
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |