Guingamp vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
SED
2 - 0
GUI
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
MPL
2 - 0
GUI
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
GUI
3 - 2
PSG
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
ANG
0 - 0
GUI
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
STR
3 - 1
GUI
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
LIL
2 - 0
MPL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
SOC
2 - 2
LIL
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
55%
26%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 3
MON
31%
28%
42%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
55%
26%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |