Guingamp vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
DIN
0 - 3
GUI
8%
19%
74%
|
77 | 40 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ARL
0 - 2
GUI
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
PSG
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
PAO
1 - 2
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 3
LYO
21%
23%
57%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MPL
3 - 3
LEN
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |