Guingamp vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
GUI
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
AMI
60%
22%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
LHA
3 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
USB
66%
20%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 3
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
USB
0 - 2
LEN
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
STL
2 - 2
LEN
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 0
ARL
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 1
LEN
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |